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  • Posted by mccannon01 6 months ago
    The CCP has been threatening to take Taiwan since before I was born (I'm 72). I figure eventually they might try it, but they will need to get a lot of ducks in order before actually doing it because it will be extremely expensive and messy. Bringing Taiwan under the CCP wing makes nice rhetoric for commie politicians, but that isn't enough to kill millions of people and literally burn up trillions of dollars in wealth, which they will never get back. They will not get Taiwan intact like they got Hong Kong. IMHO, the commies won't do it for "unification", but they would do it to stay in power by giving the folks at home something to rally around. Meaning an internal upheaval of some kind will necessitate an external event like a war. This is the scenario, IMO, we need to be constantly wary of and prepared for.

    So, why hoard gold? From the article: " China’s burgeoning gold reserves are an attempt to insulate the country from the impact of U.S. dollar sanctions if and when it launches its own invasion..." I disagree with the conclusion of invasion, rather I think it's going to be a hedge against the US dollar becoming worthless on the world stage. The US sanctioning useless dollars would be an effort in futility. The Chinese hold a lot of US paper and if (when) that paper becomes worthless, gold reserves could be the hedge. With a decent economic hedge to keep the folks at home placated the CCP can continue rattling sabers without actually having to go to war. So, who's buying the gold? For now we are every time you buy something made in China and as long as the US dollar is perceived as having value.

    With all that said, the weak Xiden regime may make a CCP move on Taiwan tempting, but it would be very high risk.
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    • Posted by mhubb 6 months ago
      basic issue
      there are only so many anti-ship missiles, anti-aircraft missiles
      the waters of the Taiwan Straights are shallow, our Nuke Subs do not like shallow

      and all the chinese that came into the US would be doing stuff, you can bet on that.

      they do not need Taiwan intact
      they need it gone, not longer able to compete with their computer chip sales

      and they want Japan gone also, for many long remember reasons, the Japanese killed more Chinese than the Germans killed Jews, Slaves, ect.

      with biden the usurper, the risk it lower
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      • Posted by mccannon01 6 months ago
        Good points, mhubb.

        I don't think a US boomer has to park in the Taiwan strait to hit commie China. And neither does a US carrier group. The CCP navy will likely have to come into the Pacific to face ours, which makes it a lot tougher to pull off a victory. All things considered, the US Navy has a long reach.

        I,too, worry about the Chinese infiltration at our southern border. Bad move on our part. They are also infiltrating the legal channels as "students" or whatever else. Also bad move on our part.
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        • Posted by mhubb 6 months ago
          US CVN has limited ammo
          so do the Aegis Cruisers and DDs
          and a limited amount of reloads to ship to them.

          we rule the open ocean
          shallow water is an issue for our subs

          our subs think surface ships are just targets
          and they are mostly right.

          the CVNs lost their S-3 Vikings when the Russian Navy fell apart, we have no CV based long ranged anti-sub defense, but we have lots of SSNs.

          what we need is the Will to Use what we have
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          • Posted by mccannon01 6 months ago
            I have to say I am no expert on this topic, however, various info I've seen regarding the USN has shown me the capabilities may be more than meets the layman's eye. Perhaps my confidence is more than it should be, but I still carry the belief the USN would be hard to kill (except for nukes over a wide area) and can deliver a very nasty punch. Let's hope we don't have to find out any time soon.
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            • Posted by mhubb 6 months ago
              the basic issue is ammo and supply
              we no longer have nuke power escort ships, so the smaller ships can only run so far, so fast.

              the CVNs only carry so much ammo for the jets.
              the subs carry 24 torps/missiles and most have 12 external (in the ballast tanks) tubes for Tomahawks

              we have 4 Ohio (ex-Boomers) that can carry around 140 Tomahawk missiles, the Ohio herself is going out of service next year, the other 3 do not have listed dates, but they cannot be far behind

              the commie chinese have enough old jets to run Japan and Taiwan out of missiles

              can a mass attack get enough through to do damage?
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    • Posted by tutor-turtle 6 months ago
      It has long been acknowledged, Taiwan belongs to China. Period.
      This has been discussed Ad nauseam.
      Every US president, every first world leader, everyone who has looked at the history and treaties understands Taiwan is China's, China owns Taiwan.
      For years they have simply let that little island grow and prosper without any serious intervention.
      But face facts, if China wanted to step in with a heavy hand, they could do it tomorrow, there isn't a thing the US or anyone could do to stop it.
      I don't think that's in Chinas interest or anyone else's. This is just fear p0rn.

      Even if China walks in (and yes, they can just stroll in) I don't see much changing. They, Taiwan, is a golden goose. China likes making money just as much as the next guy.

      I see the status quo for the near future.

      If I were to pick one issue that presents an existential threat, it is the illegal and UnConstitutional Buy-Dumb Regime.
      This @$$w!pe has broken every law in the book and because our government is so deeply corrupt he or his handlers will never be held accountable.
      His handlers have weaponized our own congress and judiciary against us.
      Knowing his regime can never win a fair and honest election, there will have to be a false flag so devastating it causes lockdowns and disrupts the country to it's core.
      What could he (his handlers) possibly do?
      I listed to a a retired spook (who was with the Agency for 50 years) last night.
      This man is no fan of Trump, in fact, really dislikes him.
      But he knows Traitor Joe is much more dangerous to the country.
      He has heard some scuttlebutt that was deeply disturbing.
      He heard it being proposed that NATO (or the US) pop of a couple tactical nukes on Russia troops. You know, just give 'em a little scare.
      Do the math.
      Putin has already addressed this scenario.
      If such a tactic was used, he would not retaliate against Ukraine.
      He would immediately bomb two cities: London. & D.C.
      The Russians have bigger bombs the 100MT Czar Bomb. They have larger and more capable hypersonic missiles. 10,000 mph are already fielded with a 28,000 mph version in development stage.

      China can have Taiwan. Not our fight.
      Poking the Bear, that will ruin our day.
      These Shiite-for-brains ruining our country have to go, like yesterday. Or we're all. as good as dead.
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      • Posted by mccannon01 6 months ago
        "It has long been acknowledged, Taiwan belongs to China. Period." Maybe there's another way to look at this and that is maybe the Chinese people on the mainland, ruled and represented by the CCP, should belong to the more free Chinese represented by the Taiwan government. Just because Mao and his commie posse burned its way across the Chinese mainland and murdered millions in the process doesn't mean what's left of free Chinese on Taiwan have to knuckle under the CCP yoke. Maybe the CCP should take a hike, not the other way around (yeah, I'm dreamin'). I'm with you, TT, on all the other items in your post.
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      • Posted by $ Thoritsu 6 months ago
        “China can just have Taiwan, not our fight” is apparently your perspective, but NOT what we are doing. Being a LOT closer to it than you apparently.

        BTW - Russia nuking London and DC would be awesome! That would fix a majority of US problems!
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        • Posted by tutor-turtle 6 months ago
          I know what the corrupt Buy-Dum regime is doing.
          What they are doing is wrong, dead wrong, and bring us closer to world war with every new blunder they make.
          The only thing these Fist-effs are accomplishing is driving Russia and China into a military alliance, and the rest of the world into a financial alliance (BRICS) against the USD.
          Were you aware there are 20+ US States looking into BRICS? Over half the world, has either signed on, or has applied to BRICS.
          I don't know what Traitor Joe's handlers think is their goal, but the financial ruination of this Republic will surely be the result.
          Whether we get blown to hell as a bonus, is clearly in in the cards.
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          • Posted by $ Thoritsu 6 months ago
            Maybe. Doubt Trump will relax policy on Taiwan. Soooo. Get ready. China is poised for action there before 2027.

            A little world strife would do this generation of LGBTQXYZ Palestine whining children a world of good.


            In any case, 1) China does not own or have a right to Taiwan, that is a silly concept to defend your neutrality position, but it is completely false; and 2) we will probably take steps to defend Taiwan, with support from UK (unless the new labor govt changes policy), Australia, South Korea, et al.
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            • Posted by tutor-turtle 6 months ago
              "China does not own or have a right to Taiwan, that is a silly concept to defend your neutrality position, but it is completely false"
              Duh! It' not MY opinion: Taiwan, PRC Look it up before you start calling people silly.
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              • Posted by $ Thoritsu 6 months ago
                I know Taiwan's history; I know MANY people from Taiwan; and I have been to Taiwan. Funny, none of the people from Taiwan want to be part of China. Very simple: Taiwan is not China's property. Taiwan is Taiwanese property. Any other position is a use of force to compel people against their will.

                Cute word games don't make Taiwan part of China (yes, PRC, yeah yeah). Nor do cute word games make the Republic of Korea part of the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (which is nothing of the sort).

                If you support that forcing the people of Taiwan to be subordinated by China, you are a problem, in this case, a silly problem. No clue why you are on this site.
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                • Posted by tutor-turtle 5 months, 4 weeks ago
                  Show me where Ayn Rand ever advocated war in any of her writings?
                  Much less going into foreign lands to fight their battles for them?

                  If you were being honest, you would admit the only compelling reason why certain politicians are so vocal about championing the Taiwanese cause is their semiconductor industry. Wanting to succeed from China is all well and good, but it’s not our fight to fight.

                  Who else wants to succeed from their governing body? Texas. Vermont. Puerto Rico. Hawaii. Quebec... How’s that working out for them? Just because they want out, doesn’t mean they have a snow-balls chance of that happening.

                  So, why did Taiwan become so integral in taking over US based chip manufacture from Silicon Valley et. El.?

                  From my very personal experience, I am old enough to remember when DEC (Digital Equipment Corporation) manufactured all of their own silicon in Maynard Massachusetts.
                  They dumped their toxic effluent of the manufacturing process of semiconductors into the Assabet River, where a few towns draw their drinking water. The Assabet, flows into the Concord river where many more towns draw their water, that river became toxic. The Concord River flows into the Merrimac River, where countless more towns and cities draw their water, making that river toxic.
                  Do you see the pattern here?

                  It took an act of Congress to stop the mass dumping of these nasty chemicals into our drinking water supply.
                  The fact that many Asian countries have few, if any, environmental regulations on dumping, add to that, cheap labor.
                  Now you can understand why we became so heavily dependent on Asian semiconductor manufacturing.
                  We are taking advantage of lax environmental regulations and cheap labor to line the pockets of a few large corporations.
                  In short, we are abusing them and polluting their countries.
                  All in an effort to skirt environmental regulations and make a relatively small number of very large corporations very wealthy.
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                • Posted by tutor-turtle 5 months, 4 weeks ago
                  Cute word games... Like the truth?
                  Is that you John Bolton? (aka The Walrus)
                  We have troubles enough here at home than to go around fighting other peoples battles for them. Starting yet another war where have no business being.
                  Show me where that has worked out well? Iraq? Iran? Afghanistan? Bosnia? Syria? Lebanon? Africa? South America?

                  I've no more f_cks to give.
                  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vqbk9...

                  If you don't like me and my so-called opinions, maybe _you* might want to find another site?
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                  • Posted by $ Thoritsu 5 months, 4 weeks ago
                    Cute word games, yes, you used them, man up and own it.

                    You are the one arguing about war. I am arguing about the right to freedom from oppression. China has no right to the island of Taiwan or to oppress the people of Taiwan against their will. Say it.
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                    • Posted by tutor-turtle 5 months, 4 weeks ago
                      You're entitled to your own opinions. You're not entitled to your own facts. The facts are on my side.
                      China claims Taiwan as a province. Where the rubber meets the road, that's all that matters.

                      Taiwan wants their independence, I don't blame them I hope they get it. But if President Xi doesn't want it, it won't happen. Period.
                      And you know why.

                      This country would make a huge mistake stepping into that breach.

                      China built an island (for military purposes) not 10 miles off the coast of the Philippines. In Philippine territorial waters. How's that working out?
                      Do You want to cross swords with China?
                      Because that's where you're headed.
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                      • Posted by $ Thoritsu 5 months, 4 weeks ago
                        Thanks for offering me the courtesy that China won't offer Taiwan if they take over, and China now denies Hong Kong.

                        I'll just say it again, because it is a natural right, Taiwan has a right to their own independence and freedom. Saying they don't is simply totalitarian nonsense. Saying that Xi will deny this right, does not make it a right.

                        You continue to seek to equate Taiwanese rights to the US choice to defend Taiwan. The minute they are separated, it is completely obvious one group should not force another group to their will. Ayn believed this, and would agree completely. So would any Libertarian.

                        So say it. Taiwan has a right to freedom.
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                        • Posted by tutor-turtle 5 months, 4 weeks ago
                          The right to freedom Heh!
                          Tell that to my Blackfoot/Iroquois ancestors.

                          Pick up a gun and go over there fight the PRC.
                          I won't stop you.

                          I don't have a dog in that fight.
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                          • Posted by $ Thoritsu 5 months, 4 weeks ago
                            ...or my Creek Indian ancestors. Yet another red herring. You have no special position as a result of your Indian heritage than me and mine, or all the black descendants of slaves.

                            Yes, Natural Rights. Have you not heard of them?

                            No one said you had to support these rights, but if you think they don't exist, why are you here? No doubt you value and enjoy your own version of these rights very much, one of them you exercise right here.

                            ... and again, you attempt to obfuscate the argument by equating people's rights with being forced to defend those people's rights, as if a person owning a car means you have to repair it. And of course you won't stop me from repairing it, either by word or action.

                            It is very clear you don't support the US defending Taiwan against a Chinese threat. However if you disagree China forcibly subjugating the Taiwanese against their will is inappropriate, you are neither an Objectivist nor Libertarian. There is no way around this.
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                            • Posted by tutor-turtle 5 months, 4 weeks ago
                              Where am I?
                              I'm here at home trying to fix our massive problems.
                              Where are you? fixing problems here at home? Or in a foreign country, sticking your nose where it doesn't belong, possibly starting a world war?
                              No, I don't think you give a rats backside about people halfway across the world, I strongly suspect you have money invested over there, possibly lots of it. As Churchill said "countries don't have friends, they have mutual interests."

                              What's-a-matter-you? Don't you care about our open borders? our unsustainable debt? our stolen elections, our massive inflation, the imminent collapse of the USD, parents who can't speak out at school board meetings, repression of our christian religion?

                              Try sneaking into Taiwan. I assure you their borders are far more secure than ours.
                              No, it appears you don't even care about your own country enough to focus your energies here.
                              No, you have to agitate, incite, insult in a hopeless case, that is none of our damn business.
                              If only you would be hurt by your incitement, I wouldn't be speaking out against your bad advice.

                              Hope your investments work out for you.

                              God Bless.
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                              • Posted by $ Thoritsu 5 months, 4 weeks ago
                                Totally irrelevant.

                                No, I have no money invested in Taiwan. I care about most of the items you list, except christian fairy tales. The difference is that I know why I care about them, grounded in philosophy, not Fox News.

                                6 rounds with nothing but obfuscation, we can safely assume you can not address a logical argument, and have no philosophical basis for your opinions or statements, who pathetically whines about comments to his public statements, and can't admit when he is simply wrong.
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                                • Posted by mccannon01 5 months, 3 weeks ago
                                  Hey guys (Thor and TT), I've not been feeling well for a few days and only caught a few things in the Gulch, so I'm late getting back to this party. I would like to clear up a few things before moving on. Taiwan, formerly Formosa, did not secede from mainland China. During WWII the majority of mainland China was governed by the Nationalist government now called the Republic of China (ROC) residing on Taiwan. These are the folks that helped us fight the Japanese during WWII, rescued our pilots, etc. The commie revolution burned across mainland China and eventually crushed most (NOT ALL) of the free ROC government and formed the PRC. The ROC was able to escape to and maintain it's life on the island of Taiwan, it NEVER surrendered and eventually formed its own country, which actually was admitted to the UN. Mainland China was stolen from the ROC by the PRC, not the other way around. It clearly is NOT a secessionist province. Somehow the PRC was able to bully the "world" that China should be represented by them so the world eventually threw the ROC under the bus and put the PRC in its place. The PRC right from the beginning has no right to Taiwan or the free people living there, no matter how much it stamps its feet or rattles its sabers in trying to convince anyone otherwise.

                                  Should the US defend Taiwan should the PRC initiate a shooting war of conquest starting with invading Taiwan? That's a whole different argument than whether or not the people of the ROC deserve to hold on to their freedom.
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                                  • Thoritsu replied 5 months, 3 weeks ago
                  • Posted by $ Thoritsu 5 months, 4 weeks ago
                    Cute word games, yes, you used them, man up and own it.

                    You are the one arguing about war. I am arguing about the right to freedom from oppression. China has no right to the island of Taiwan or to oppress the people of Taiwan against their will. Say it.
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    • Posted by 6 months ago
      Thanks for the comment. I posted the article on invasion of Taiwan, but I WROTE an article on China's hoarding gold for exactly the reasons you say. https://www.thesavvystreet.com/china-...
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      • Posted by mccannon01 6 months ago
        Excellent narrative! I finally had a chance to read it. You have given a panoramic view of the mess the US dollar is in. CBDCs will NOT save the day. The way I understand your question towards the end I would rather have Chinese gold currency than smoke-and-mirrors CBDC - and I suspect China and BRICS+ are counting on that. The end is a scary point. Let's hope war doesn't happen to cover the behinds of the fools that got us in this mess to start with.
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  • Posted by mhubb 6 months ago
    commie china cannot allow Taiwan to stand
    it shows how bad their commie system is

    and they plan to drop a few "presents" by way of Japan on the way to Taiwan, i expect. their hare of Japan is only comparable to their hate of Russia.
    do not think that Russia and commie china are in love, they simple see a chance to settle old scores against others. there used to be more troops on the Soviet/China border than any other place in the world, for reason going back centuries
    those memories are still there
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  • Posted by CaptainKirk 6 months ago
    While we waste our time on Ukraine.
    Taiwan is the Key Strategic Partner to the USA.
    First, they are currently the leader (and location of) the best chip fabricators in the world. All the AI Chips are basically in their hands.
    We must keep this tech away from China.
    I am happy that they are working to build a Chip Fabrication Plant in the USA. As is Intel (finally). If we can keep the EPA and other Govt Agencies out of the situation.

    America stands a strong chance of surviving the upcoming MASSIVE CRASH that comes our way. Europe is being dismantled and sent to the dark ages. Germany is turning off their Fertilizer AND manufacturing abilities bc of the lack of fuel. And the LIE that they wanted to shut down the Nuclear Plants (Oopsies)...

    As the water ways are controlled by drone water mines. And massive boats become too big of an expense. The number of boats will go down. The CANAL fees per boat will skyrocket, and costs will become such that we are better off making things at home.

    If we fail to bring back some basic manufacturing, and the High Tech stuff... We will lose ALL of our edges. We will slide back 50 years of gains.

    Worse... The next generation knows they cannot trust the government, or the corporations. I will be arranging my deck chairs as this Titanic Event unfolds...
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  • Posted by term2 6 months ago
    China will invade taiwan peacefully through a naval blockade ending trade trom taiwan. China will do this if Biden is re elected in November. If Trump wins, china will pull back and wait to see if Trump is impeached (again)
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  • Posted by $ splumb 6 months ago
    Since Biden has hung Taiwan out to dry (just like Truman and Acheson did to South Korea in 1950), China must be feeling more confident about an attack.
    Deja vu all over again.
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  • Posted by mcsandberg 6 months ago
    Xi Jinping, as stupid as he is, knows that all he'll get if he invades Taiwan is nothing. Semiconductor fabs are fragile! All you have to do to destroy one, is open the clean room to the outside world.
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    • Posted by term2 6 months ago
      Remember, statists are more concerned with ideology than results. The idea of taking control (and exercising power) over Taiwan is the important thing; NOT what they actually get from the takeover or how much it costs.
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