Alien mega-structures found?
I'm a Hard Science guy. This isn't flying saucer stuff.
Could be nothing - almost certainly nothing - but could be the biggest news in human history.
All eyes now turn to KIC 8462852.
Could be nothing - almost certainly nothing - but could be the biggest news in human history.
All eyes now turn to KIC 8462852.
We have been transmitting radio signals for about a century; I suspect that before another century is done we will have different methods of transmission and even we will not be transmitting bongo drum signals any more.
We don't know what an interstellar society uses for communication, because we are not there yet.
Jan
to your door in half an hour, with the cheese sauce and Sprite,
as you ordered telepathically. == grandsonJohn's delivery
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http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/world...
Jan, future is here
I have triplet sisters who are friends who have the telepathic
think going on -- the 2 who are identical, that is. . the3rd sister,
whom I dated, was envious as hell. -- j
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I have seen some long-time married couples who did a pretty good job of subliminal communication too.
Jan
Jan
taking twelve 7.5 hydrocodone tablets a day after his right hip joint
was replaced Monday ... I have friends who are triplet sisters,
and the two who are identical have a telepathic connection,
we are pretty damned sure. . the joke was me. -- j
p.s. but living in tennessee gives me a chance to see
some who might actually be dating their sisters.......
.
Jan
walking to a recliner at 2:15 -- amazing!!! . this is our live-in
kinda-brother, who is now 70, and we brought him home
this past afternoon. . next, his left ankle will
be fused. . fun with surgery! -- j
.
Jan
he is getting ready to crash tonight, with a far lower dose, and
we will seeeeeeeee. -- j
.
triplet sisters, and the two who are identical are telepathic,
we are sure. . I, on the other hand, can't even type! -- j
.
fantasy from reality -- kinda like Bernie Sanders and Hillary!!! -- j
.
Evolutionary pressures will be duplicated time-and-time again, quite possibly resulting in similar outcomes.
I'm not saying Humanoid per se (though there should be many humanoid species - why would we be the only one?) but UNDERSTANDABLE - recognizable.
Except, of course, for those that aren't! (Also sure to be!)
Ha!
While I think humanoid is the likely life-form we'll eventually encounter, the idea that we could have already observed life and written off as "nature" is a bit humbling.
But enough about Hillary, Barack and Bernie...
:)
Not sure which would be worse,
to be consumed in a cosmic melee or to live and die alone in the darkness.
Science may save us; if Science fails, we're screwed.
Sorry if that wasn't clear.
And space-borne solar shields and collectors will either cool or warm as needed.
We'll have effective planetary weather control within a few hundred years - tops.
Sure, we proved that Malthus was a moron, but unless you reject historical evidence of solar and terran temperature cycles, .....
ho hum.......
nothing new nothing interesting nothing to worry about the odds are exactly fifty fifty. It will or it won't nothing to be done about it but run around yelling the sky is falling the sky is falling..
which sums up the chicken little party view quite nicely.
He's only saying not to broadcast our existence into the void.
Look and listen and shut the hell up.
Sounds like sage advice to me.
The rest is just advertising for a book.
the last part is an updated let's hide behind the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans. the chances that will be harmful rather than beneficial are 50 50.
Now let's get serious...the chances are 10 to 1 the Republican half of the Government Party will try to sign them to a contract. The Democrat half will try to sign them up as unpapered alien voters. that run 50 to 1. The chances our government will start some kind of warwith them are 100 to 1......Those numbers I can work with.
If THEY come here, they CAN come here.
By that fact they will have in insurmountable technological advantage and we will be at their mercy.
I don't assume they're Klingons - but I don't assume they're not either.
Once they see animals and tools allowing one person to do the farming of ten people and how the other people can learn science to understand the world and make better tools, they usually don't want to live like their ancestors. I agree with you, though, those people want to keep their ancestral lives surviving by hunting and gathering with some farming without animals or tools don't have that option after contact. Their unique and special world is gone forever. If the aliens were reasonably benevolent, that would happen to Earth too.
Also, the Indian Tribes next door to me live own a tiny fraction of their previous holdings. What ever was "benevolently" left to them.
I'd rather take my time and enter the cosmic drama a little farther along than stone-age men.
Even the Prime Directive in Star Trek encouraged the opposite of 'take it for ourselves' attitude. Energy was cheap and virtually no "Earthling" wanted for anything.
The North American Natives 'lost' because the Truth is: Land ONLY "Belongs" to those who can defend it against ALL Comers. If you can, it's still yours; if you can't, it becomes Theirs.
Period. Nobody has "rights" to land or territory other than the occupiers who can defend it, and any legal rights of its citizens comes from their own culture and laws protecting those rights and defining them FOR their 'own peoples.'
Go review Star Treks for the optimistic view. What could a space-faring race want/need from US?! Use us as food?! Consider the expense of resources and time involved in THAT 'hunt and gather' kind of expedition! Silly! If they could Get Here From There, you think they'd come for FOOD?!
If they want it, they'll take it.
But it seems in your argument "rights" end at the border.
Thank heavens for the Army.
I gotta tell ya though, I really think the Poles had a RIGHT to their land when the Panzers rolled over it. But that's just me.
As for what they'd want? I don't know.
Not the raw materials, those are all over the place.
Certainly not our water or our women.
(Well maybe the women - have you seen the women!)
But really, Intelligent Life is the one thing on this planet that might be rare out there.
If they come for anything - they might just come for us!
But even if they're friendly - it will be the end of US.
Nothing about that encounter makes me want to hasten it.
Some of the earliest signals that could have punched through the atmosphere and gone one their merry way were TV broadcasts of Hitler at one of the Olympic Games... MANY years ago.
Fortunately, ANY "nearest possible civilization" is likely to not detect them or be too far away to get a clue about how much they really won't want to meet us... :)
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Therefore, regardless of the facts, it will be reported as ... nothing.
Sure, it'll probably be disproved but that never stopped them before!
Now if it was about eating ice cream as diet food, or how breathing causes cancer....
So then they don't become visible until they build something like this sliver of a Dyson sphere they're imagining. It's hard to get my mind around it. I imagine them developing long-lived probes that would go out and find civilizations, both living and long-gone. I imagine them still being confined to their solar system by Special Relativity but having very long lifespans.
I can imagine them getting data back sent from one of their probes. They haven't visited Earth yet. This data is from some civilization on a planet with a thin atmosphere and less gravity. They developed a gestural and written language (the atmosphere being too thin for speech), began to urbanize, and then plague followed by a glacial period wiped them out, leaving the planet to non-intelligent animals.
If such a civilization existed 1500 light years away and we're seeing something they were building 1500 years ago, are we on a list of Goldilocks planets to visit. There are no radio waves. They can't zoom in an see the Holy Roman Empire, Byzantine Empire, or the civilizations in the Americas. By the time their probes get here, maybe they'll find our own energy collecting system and a civilization of people linked together by artificial brain interfaces, living thousands of years. I can't fathom whether any future humans would be weird enough to set out and spend its 3000 year lifetime on a trip to see KIC in person once they know someone is there.
Freeman Dyson suggested that mega-structures could be a detectable characteristic of a class 2 Kardashev civilization. Maybe that is what we are seeing or maybe it is something very different. But what ever it is it's bound to be interesting.
And with real-time tele-presence (using entangled-particle technologies) you never even have to say good bye.
Exploration is in our genes. Really.
We'll go.
This line of thinking makes it actually seem more likely ships could turn up in orbit like European explorers.
European explorers - well, yeah there's the rub. Just as Hawking warns.
Maybe it would be something like this in 500 years: https://www.galtsgulchonline.com/post...
Jan
Finite power - transmitted in a vast spherical volume - diminishes to virtually nothing "very" quickly.
A typical high-power transmitter might be 80dBm. A good narrowband receiver will detect signals down in the -130dBm range. (By narrowband, we're talking about voice or low-speed data like GPS, not video or broadband.)
I've only used it for terrestrial links of a few miles. I just tried it for an FM radio station, and I get a range of only a few million miles. But I know the Voyager probes worked over billions of miles on just 10W. It must be loads of antenna gain in the terrestrial antenna. Maybe someone can explain how RF-based SETI is even possible. Just running the FSPL equation quickly appears to confirm what you said.
That makes it travel much farther - but also makes it much harder to intercept.
I'm winging this - way off base?
Link budget arithmetic ends up being surprising simple. Power out + TX antenna gain - loss in the cable going to the antenna - FSPL - attenuation due to objects in the way + RX antenna gain - loss in that cable = the signal the receiver sees. The minimum signal required is the receiver's sensitivity. A typical Wi-Fi card needs -75dBm to connect, and -50dBm to get high rates. A GPS goes down to -130dBm, but it sends much less data per second.
I think it's so cool that inexpensive receivers can pull 1Mbps of information from -90dBm (one trillionth of a watt) of signal.
This is the same with a typical public safety radio system. It used to be one tall tower that covered a whole metro area. Now it's a network of transmitters and receivers around town that each cover a smaller area.
I think this trend will continue and make us harder for aliens to detect.
Personally, I think they wouldn't care about us. I mean do you go up and try to communicate with every barking dog? Maybe the only way we would get their attention would be to show up on their doorstep. Even then, they might just call animal control. 😸
As to where THEY all are - it's all about the lifespan of species.
Even a rare thing will be plentiful if it lasts forever. But will be vanishingly scarce if short lived.
Will we last another 10,000 years? Another Million?
Neither is very long in ASTRO-nomical timelines (even greater than geologic time scales!)
Now reverse that. what if WE are the "gnat aliens" to every other species in the multiverses?
Maybe the reason we don't hear them is because they aren't transmitting in cycles per second, but cycles per century.
And that doesn't even come close to the phenomenon that we, as a sapient species, have been around for how many dozen thousand years - out of 13 billion? What if - the "interstellar age" has already come - and gone - before there was anything more than greyish-bluish-greenish mucas-ey lichen on our swelteringly steamy proto-planet, and we are truly extreme latecomers - too late to even be latecomers - perhaps the last of intelligent life.
After all, it wasn't that very long ago on OUR scale that we thought the universe revolved around our big blue marble...
Jan
Modern humans (depending on who you read) have been around 40 to 100 thousand years. 10 thousand is possible. If our descendants make it a million years, I doubt they will still be the same species. Wouldn't expect evolution to stop.
Whatever we might be in a million years, it won't be US - anymore than we are Lucy.
(I know, Lucy was more than a million years ago but you get the point,)
But I take a more optimistic view myself.
Short term the graph rises and falls, but in the long view we are rapidly advancing.
My first answer to the Fermi Paradox is the 'bongo drum' metaphor I explained above.
I doubt that alien civilizations have the Star Trek Prime Directive of non-interference (which never made sense to me, other than as a plot device). They may have policies against initiating contact with any civilization below a certain threshold. We don't know what that threshold might be, but if we flew up to their planet and knocked on their door, I suspect we would have made the grade.
Jan, liked the cat emo
As for primitive primate worlds such as ours, I would speculate such is out there. A second Earth like ours won't be coming to see us.
There might even be a post-apoplectic Mad Max: Fury Road planet out there. (Saw that on a rented DVD last night). .
space people exist, or that they have possibly been
here before. But I don't think any of the specific
cases claimed are such.
Even if they do exist, I don't think they really
should come here. Even on this planet, you are
not allowed to just go from country to country
without a passport (except I understand that there is some sort of agreement between Cana-
da and the U.S.). One reason is the possibility
of spreading diseases; a medical exam is need-
ed. Who knows what kind of plagues they could
bring down here, or for that matter, take back to
their own people? (Then again, a germ in such
a being might not be able to survive in a human.
But who knows? And if if could blight plants and
crops...)
Do they exist? Certainly.
Do they care a rat's @$$ about us? Why would they?
Will they come to see us? Welllll, that's the sticky part, isn't it?