Book Review: “Ukraine: Why Russia has Won” - February 24, 2022 was the day that changed 21st century geopolitics forever
Posted by freedomforall 9 months, 3 weeks ago to Books
Excerpt:
"Xavier Moreau is a French politico-strategic analyst based in Russia for 24 years now. Graduated from the prestigious Saint-Cyr military academy and with a Sorbonne diploma, he hosts two shows on RT France.
His latest book, Ukraine: Pourquoi La Russie a Gagné (“Ukraine: Why Russia has Won”), just out, is an essential manual for European audiences on the realities of the war, not those childish fantasies concocted across the NATOstan sphere by instant “experts” with less than zero combined arms military experience.
Moreau makes it very clear what every impartial, realist analyst was aware of from the beginning: the devastating Russian military superiority, which would condition the endgame. The problem, still, is how this endgame – “demilitarization” and “denazification” of Ukraine, as established by Moscow – will be achieved.
What is already clear is that “demilitarization”, of Ukraine and NATO, is a howling success that no new wunderwaffen – like F-16s – will be able to change.
Moreau perfectly understands how Ukraine, nearly 10 years after Maidan, is not a nation; “and has never been less than a nation”. It’s a territory where populations that everything separates are jumbled up. Moreover, it has been a – “grotesque” – failed state ever since its independence. Moreau spends several highly entertaining pages going through the corruption grotesquerie in Ukraine, under a regime that “gets its ideological references simultaneously via admirers of Stepan Bandera and Lady Gaga.”
None of the above, of course, is reported by oligarch-controlled European mainstream media."
"Xavier Moreau is a French politico-strategic analyst based in Russia for 24 years now. Graduated from the prestigious Saint-Cyr military academy and with a Sorbonne diploma, he hosts two shows on RT France.
His latest book, Ukraine: Pourquoi La Russie a Gagné (“Ukraine: Why Russia has Won”), just out, is an essential manual for European audiences on the realities of the war, not those childish fantasies concocted across the NATOstan sphere by instant “experts” with less than zero combined arms military experience.
Moreau makes it very clear what every impartial, realist analyst was aware of from the beginning: the devastating Russian military superiority, which would condition the endgame. The problem, still, is how this endgame – “demilitarization” and “denazification” of Ukraine, as established by Moscow – will be achieved.
What is already clear is that “demilitarization”, of Ukraine and NATO, is a howling success that no new wunderwaffen – like F-16s – will be able to change.
Moreau perfectly understands how Ukraine, nearly 10 years after Maidan, is not a nation; “and has never been less than a nation”. It’s a territory where populations that everything separates are jumbled up. Moreover, it has been a – “grotesque” – failed state ever since its independence. Moreau spends several highly entertaining pages going through the corruption grotesquerie in Ukraine, under a regime that “gets its ideological references simultaneously via admirers of Stepan Bandera and Lady Gaga.”
None of the above, of course, is reported by oligarch-controlled European mainstream media."
What's the mystery? IMHO, as America and Western Europe (throw in Australia and Canada as well) become more dependent on socialism/fascism/communism as an ideology going forward they will stagnate and weaken. Third world countries with nukes. As Russia becomes more entrepreneurial and independent it will strengthen. Putin is setting a tone for an independent and prosperous Russia. He is a dictator that loves his country and knows he isn't going to live forever so what does he want to leave for Russians? Prosperity. It's looking like certain Western elites would rather it be a smoking ruin.
Am I "pro Russian". No, I'm pro American! But I'm seeing Russia becoming what America is supposed to be and America becoming the new Soviet Union.
He was a lifer, very high up in the US Military command.
This country is living in a 1990's mindset, everything has changed.
Our enemies are far more formidable than they were 30 years ago.
We have gotten progressively weaker due to complacency.
Once our military went woke with the stolen election, no young man or women with any brains has any incentive or desire to join the military.
Recruitment is Way down.
Re-ups are way down
Moral in in the gutter.
Another important fact that is of great danger to this nation, the degree at which we underestimate Russia's military.
This is not 1990.
Whether you want to believe it or not, Russia is ahead of us in almost every metric that matters.
And their army is not Woke
They have half our population, yet has a larger standing army, more guns, more missiles, larger and more numerous nukes.
Contrary to popular notion, they invented hypersonic missile technology and transferred that technology to China.
We are playing a game catch-up.
The very last thing we want is to bash heads with the Russians.
We may win, but it will come with a terrible cost. The likes of which most people have even the slightest idea of.
I have to question anyone here, who advocates hot confrontation with a nuclear power.
By pooh-poohing the Russians, they invite the horror of a planet-wide killing conflict.
I have first hand knowledge of Russian weaponry. When The wall fell, the black market opened for Russian hardware, limited only by the depth of your wallet. This went on for decades.
Samples of all of that hardware ended up in DoD research labs.
Underestimate Russian capability at your peril.
they have always been just a show of just how unserious we are, by we i mean the damn clueless politicians
Russia is a hollow shell of the Soviet Union
look at that drone that hit St Petersburg, they could not stop that
what Russia has is the WILL to act
put Russia up against a REAL Military with the WILL to resist, like Poland or Germany, with REAL weapons, like the Leopard-2A7 and numbers or anti-tank missiles and REAL AA firepower and Russian will not advance
Russia is not a threat to nations with real firepower and the will to use it
the key is have the will to resist
and yes, their economy is becoming stronger, thanks to biden the usurper and his stupid sanctions
if not for Russian nukes, their military would be second class. their navy is a poor joke, their army poor, air force poor (good on paper, i'd not want to invade Russia, but lots of their stuff is unserviceable, high tech equipment take PARTS to keep running)
ideally, i'd want the US and Russia to become allies, and to be honest China (once the commies are gone) also, we have a major islam problem coming soon
we see the start of that now
we are being pushed that way by the lying democrat party
the US has great energy reserves, so does Russia, together we can ally and help China be free of the commies and together all three of us can prevent islam from getting nukes (or enough of them)
have upgraded infrastructure, created space colonies, mined asteroids for
natural resources, and simultaneously found a real defense against nuclear missiles.
Instead much of the rest of the world hates the US.
Russia DOES NOT have the military ability to take on a REAL military
Russia may have the Will to do so
but not the hardware
look at the drone that go to St Petersburg, that could not be stopped
a REAL Military, like Germany's, with REAL tanks, like the Leopard-2V7 and REAL AA and REAL anti-tank missiles will stop Russia cold
or do you think no one has been watching the use of drones and other stuff and not making their own?
Russia is a hollow shell of the former Soviet Union, the Russian Navy is pathetic. for an Army to advance, it NEEDS Armor, top attack missiles stop tanks.
Russia should reconsider allying with China, it did so simply because of the instability of the United States (think democrats)
no sane nation can trust the United States as long as the possibility of RINO or democrats getting into power again exists and them waging insane wars that server no purpose
Why are you in such a rush to get us into a nuclear exchange?
Do you have first-hand knowledge of Russian capabilities?
That last 70 years, this nation has only slapped around third world countries. Most of them turned out disastrous.
Russia is not a third world country.
If only you would be harmed by a third world war, I would not stop you from stepping into the breach, but your mindset puts all of us at risk.
who is saying i WANT a 3rd world war???
one more time
LOOK at the current Russian Navy
LOOK at what the Russian Army has failed to do
top attack Missiles have stopped it
AND no skippy i am NOT saying we should have a war
i AM SAYING THE OPPOSITE
WE SHOULD BE ALLIES with RUSSIA
GET A FING CLUE
i AM SAYING THOSE THAT ARE PUSHING the Ukraine WAR for the REASON that RUSSIA will go after other nations ARE LIARS
RUSSIA does NOT have the Military Power to GO after other nations
WOW guy, again, get a DAMN clue and READ a damn BOOK or two
as for Col. Doulas MacGregor
let me know when he keeps his Oath and helps remove the Domestic Enemies now in power
or his words mean NOTHING
Why didn't you say it up front? I got a totally different impression from your words.
"Russia DOES NOT have the military ability to take on a REAL military" > Bull. That is an inciteful statement, even a dull person can see that.
How is that statement to be taken any other way? Show where I'm wrong.
You should know Ukraine was the Russian army up until very recently.
They are very tough, and fought valiantly, but they were out-numbered and out-classed.
Even with all the billions in aid from US.
I don't want a war with you.
I don't want war with any nation.
Notice I didn't resort shouting or ad hominem attacks to make a point.
Ad hominem attacks say more about you, than I.
Enough said?
Navies have been sitting ducks since the French began selling Exocet missiles to the world in the 1980's.
Floating navies are a unless metric when a third world nation can afford the hardware to take out a carrier.
Why don't you read Janes Defense Weekly, I do.
You might learn a thing or two about the true capabilities of other nations, and not be so quick to dismiss them.
If I was going to use resources on a military ship it would be a quiet nuclear sub.
(How many offensive drones might a sub be able to carry and launch?)
Attack drones are becoming a serious threat.
Cheap and relatively simple to make, third world countries (ah-hem, The Houthis) pose an asymmetrical threat that is hard to defend against.
When a $10,000 drone can take out a billion dollar ship, we have big troubles.
When autonomous AI drones become cheap and plentiful... Skynet: here we come.
"look at the drone that go to St Petersburg, that could not be stopped" Well, look at the Chinese balloon that photographed our military bases across the USA that "couldn't" be stopped, either.
I am hopeful that a President Trump will negotiate a Yuge Agreement... Russia will get their land bridge to Crimea. And be forced to rebuild large parts of Ukraine, in exchange for the land they acquired.
And yes... Considering that we killed over 14,000 Russians in Ukraine BEFORE the war started... I do believe the "aggressor" as they call Russia in this conflict, despite NOT being the group to kill the first people on the other side... Should have it.
With a Bright Red Line. FWIW, those people already voted 90% to secede from Ukraine.
Pepe Escobar is among a group of writers I sort of follow, mainly on substack, and pro-Russia in this conflict. They are on this topic, to my mind, accurate about the past and make good predictions. Even so, there are one or two topics where I am of an opposite view, mainly those that fit - any/every position held or pretended to be held by 'the West' must be bad and wrong.
I think USA is just trying to delay the inevitable by putting up a proxy fight with russia using Ukraine. By the time this is over, Ukraine will have been essentially destroyed, and whatever Putin wanted will not be there really.
The reason behind Russian aggression is demographics: in ten years, Russia won't have the young to fight its battles, and must act now. Putin's call for Russians to go back to having large families won't solve that problem, as any new children won't be of the age to fight for a couple of decades.