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The administration had the motive and means, and it's something very bad for democratic gov't. The computer crash thing makes no sense to me at all. It's way more suspicious than even if they disgorged a string of e-mails saying things like "I can't stand those tea party people; let's get them." That would be bad, but the computer-crashed excuse makes me wonder if there were e-mails from political experts or large contributors asking for favors.
I real commentary in the NYT that the only scandal is how bad they are at backing up e-mails. That's laughable.
99% of things people say about the president sound like either paranoid nonsense or a pathetic attempt to look for any scandal when there isn't one, but this has all the earmarkings of a real scandal.