Rich, I've been traveling today, and now I can finally give you my answer! In the ordinary turn of events, I think society would devolve steadily, probably being where we are today in 50 to 100 years. EXCEPT: when John Galt and his compatriots returned to the world, they had made enormous sacrifices in order to join the Strike. They also had a complete understanding of philosophy and the principles of "life". So I think they would do absolutely everything, from rewriting the constitution, as The Judge was doing, to shaping the laws and the culture to prevent the ascendancy of collectivism. I think it would be possible for them to prevent our country from being destroyed again. I believe they would have the intelligence and strength of will to do so, and when they came back to the world they would be in control.
If anything like that ever played out, the world would never be the same again. Going back would be impossible.
As I read the broad sweep of history, the curve is upward and outward. We have been steadily improving both morally and materially. The two are inextricable. It is not that "socialism comes back" but only that the advocates for reality do not advance evenly or completely. But the world is better now than it ever was.
In a sense, Atlas Shrugged itself was "Galt's Speech." As I have pointed out in other discussions, the consequences can be seen in the lives of 40 million people.
Consider today's news about Apple and the FBI. You would not have seen that in 1957.
Looking at it from another angle, I just judged a regional science fair. We have another day tomorrow: 2200 entrants from 3rd through 12th grades. There was a time that the entire world did not have 2200 scientists -- or even 2200 literate people.
In The Economy of Cities Jane Jacobs pointed out that old forms of production do not really disappear. We left the horse-and-buggy behind, but you can still make a good living shoeing horses because today, they are a pastime for rich people -- well, them and the Amish. So, it is no surprise that we still have tribal leaders, witch doctors, and rites of passage. But they are no longer the defining norms of human action.
" There was a time that the entire world did not have 2200 scientists -- or even 2200 literate people." Thank you!! Why do Ayn Rand fans so often get caught up in how crappy things are? Some people take it the extreme and say things are so bad that a collapse of society is coming due to poverty and oppression. The notion is absurd in such prosperous and free times. People react to this claim as if we're condoning the gov't oppression that exists today. It's as if admitting incidents of rape and murder and gone way down makes us rapists or murders.
"you can still make a good living shoeing horses because today, they are a pastime for rich people" Yes. Lightbulbs did that to candles/lanterns.
I think this is a pivotal time when technology is rapidly shaking up the world economy, sort of like what the industrial revolution or European mercantilism did. This could cause some sort of socialist backlash. But I agree with what you're saying that the moral arc of history bends away from that.
The number of young people embracing Socialism is growing. I am concerned that even if we regain Freedom and Liberty that an under current of Socialism would remain and rise again. My thoughts are that it would be even faster than in the past.
If it's worth doing enough will come forward. If enough do not come forward it isn't worth doing.
ten dedicated 'and supported' volunteers are worth far more than a hundred draftees.
the problem will lie more with the word 'support' but if the congress and political leadership is ambivalent (to be nice) the clear signal is it is not worth doing.
Yes and it was almost done at the end of the Vietnam era...then...inexplicably the main supporters disappeared. I doubt you would find much opposed in the military especially those who remember all the trouble it caused. Far more than it was worth.
Not very long. Things happen so quickly now because of the Internet. Moreover, moochers and looters reproduce like bacterial infections, whereas producers reproduce like ... humans.
Infections...I like that. I doubt that the current crop of moochers and looters would change their thinking. They would just wait patiently for their next chance. If we embraced Freedom again would any other countries follow? The U.N. would be a huge obstacle.
Never. The United States (and then the whole world, after a certain period of time), would accept the rules of reality and work according to them. A perfect, ideal world. That was the point of the revolt, otherwise Galt would never have done it in the first place.
Rich, are you asking how long it would take for the country to deteriorate to where it is now, or how long it would take for the country to return to a technologically advanced state?
Where we are now. I'm thinking that Socialism never dies it just goes dormant. If a John Galt type person were to restore the country to it's original framework I'm wondering how long it would take to decline again.
I have heard it said that no Democracy has survived for more than 200 years. Seems we started the transition from a Republic to a Democracy in the late 1800's, so less than 200 years would be my answer.
How many democracies can you list? (I allow that by "democracy" you would include republics such as Genoa.) When did Athens stop being a democracy? The reign of the 500 and then the 30 Tyrants ran only a few years. Even if you mark that as the end of the first era, the subsequent centuries would still contradict the thesis.
I figure around the time of the Civil War as well. Wondering if it would happen even faster now. Probably the only to slow the deterioration would be to eliminate the U.N. at the same time.
I'm not sure that it would happen faster but I certainly don't think it would take longer. It is my belief that it takes a many generations to completely forget why a drastic change was made in the first place. Frog in the pot of warming water.
If we consider what we (think) we know about history, people tolerated tyranny for many years prior to the American revolution. (I suspect this has occurred for all of history.) It took a long time for enough people to stand up to it. I think the same thing is going on now. The more time that passes the more people don't realize how bad things are until finally someone stands up to the tyranny again. Consider MM's comment to this post. I agree there are many things that are way better than it was 200 years ago but IMHO these were all a direct cause of the freedoms established in America 240 years ago. With out this freedom, I personally don't believe we would have the level of technology that we do today. I think we would be years behind.
From my perspective, we are worse now on the tyranny scale than we were prior to the American revolution. I don't doubt for a second that we would have even more advancements if we had the same freedoms as the people after the founding America.
I love all this new technology but I would give it all back to be as free as the people were 200 years ago. But that is just me and it is the part that believers in big government don't understand, for if they did they would see what I see and feel as I feel. Of course others are welcome to believe as they want but the question I ask is, what gives them the right to take my freedom because of their beliefs?
I guess it would depend on how well the youth embraces their new freedoms. Bernie Sanders is a huge wake up call. Not even the Democrats expected him to do this well.
True but the one mechanism that hasn't been used is the Military's oath of office and then see if they gave it back. Either way an improvement but I'd like to see them do it. If nothing else than to watch the whining. That is to say if they pronounce a forced return to the Constitution with re-education camps for Hillary, Bernie and company. And then put the same mechanism in place for the next go round.
Good point Random. Watching how well Bernie Sanders is doing makes me wonder if we really can change enough minds to win. A flaw in my thinking perhaps.
Yes...you forgot the military solution as do most.this one is a fifty fifty chance of doing some good while Bernie, Hillary and Trump have a 100 percent chance at failure of a third kind.
In the ordinary turn of events, I think society would devolve steadily, probably being where we are today in 50 to 100 years.
EXCEPT: when John Galt and his compatriots returned to the world, they had made enormous sacrifices in order to join the Strike. They also had a complete understanding of philosophy and the principles of "life". So I think they would do absolutely everything, from rewriting the constitution, as The Judge was doing, to shaping the laws and the culture to prevent the ascendancy of collectivism. I think it would be possible for them to prevent our country from being destroyed again. I believe they would have the intelligence and strength of will to do so, and when they came back to the world they would be in control.
As I read the broad sweep of history, the curve is upward and outward. We have been steadily improving both morally and materially. The two are inextricable. It is not that "socialism comes back" but only that the advocates for reality do not advance evenly or completely. But the world is better now than it ever was.
In a sense, Atlas Shrugged itself was "Galt's Speech." As I have pointed out in other discussions, the consequences can be seen in the lives of 40 million people.
Consider today's news about Apple and the FBI. You would not have seen that in 1957.
Looking at it from another angle, I just judged a regional science fair. We have another day tomorrow: 2200 entrants from 3rd through 12th grades. There was a time that the entire world did not have 2200 scientists -- or even 2200 literate people.
In The Economy of Cities Jane Jacobs pointed out that old forms of production do not really disappear. We left the horse-and-buggy behind, but you can still make a good living shoeing horses because today, they are a pastime for rich people -- well, them and the Amish. So, it is no surprise that we still have tribal leaders, witch doctors, and rites of passage. But they are no longer the defining norms of human action.
Thank you!! Why do Ayn Rand fans so often get caught up in how crappy things are? Some people take it the extreme and say things are so bad that a collapse of society is coming due to poverty and oppression. The notion is absurd in such prosperous and free times. People react to this claim as if we're condoning the gov't oppression that exists today. It's as if admitting incidents of rape and murder and gone way down makes us rapists or murders.
"you can still make a good living shoeing horses because today, they are a pastime for rich people"
Yes. Lightbulbs did that to candles/lanterns.
I think this is a pivotal time when technology is rapidly shaking up the world economy, sort of like what the industrial revolution or European mercantilism did. This could cause some sort of socialist backlash. But I agree with what you're saying that the moral arc of history bends away from that.
http://youtube.com/watch?v=PJL_FeMdpLw
If it's worth doing enough will come forward.
If enough do not come forward it isn't worth doing.
ten dedicated 'and supported' volunteers are worth far more than a hundred draftees.
the problem will lie more with the word 'support' but if the congress and political leadership is ambivalent (to be nice) the clear signal is it is not worth doing.
i don't care if it's in use now or later or not.
but you can exclude women from that exception
And these people are considered educated.
If we consider what we (think) we know about history, people tolerated tyranny for many years prior to the American revolution. (I suspect this has occurred for all of history.) It took a long time for enough people to stand up to it. I think the same thing is going on now. The more time that passes the more people don't realize how bad things are until finally someone stands up to the tyranny again. Consider MM's comment to this post. I agree there are many things that are way better than it was 200 years ago but IMHO these were all a direct cause of the freedoms established in America 240 years ago. With out this freedom, I personally don't believe we would have the level of technology that we do today. I think we would be years behind.
From my perspective, we are worse now on the tyranny scale than we were prior to the American revolution. I don't doubt for a second that we would have even more advancements if we had the same freedoms as the people after the founding America.
I love all this new technology but I would give it all back to be as free as the people were 200 years ago. But that is just me and it is the part that believers in big government don't understand, for if they did they would see what I see and feel as I feel. Of course others are welcome to believe as they want but the question I ask is, what gives them the right to take my freedom because of their beliefs?